Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.