J1 League | Gameweek 19

Jul 1, 2023 at 10am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 0
Kawasaki

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kawasaki Frontale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 24 at 11.30am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
31.19% ( 0.38)	26.84% ( -0.03)	41.98% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 50.4% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.45% (

0.25)

54.55% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.1% (

0.21)

75.9% (

-0.21)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

0.41)

32.2% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.32% (

0.46)

68.68% (

-0.45)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33% (

-0.07)

25.67% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.43% (

-0.09)

60.57% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 31.19%

Kawasaki Frontale 41.97%

Draw 26.83%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.19%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.97%