Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.