J1 League | Gameweek 24

Aug 18, 2023 at 11am UK

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 1
Albirex Niigata

Ideguchi (45+1'), Nara (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maejima (19' og.)
Akiyama (6'), Watanabe (38'), Arai (54')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Yokohama FC
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
42.58% ( 0.77)	27.31% ( -0.13)	30.1% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26% (

0.26)

56.74% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

0.21)

77.69% (

-0.21)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.65% (

0.53)

26.35% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

0.7)

61.5% (

-0.7)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88% (

-0.33)

34.12% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19% (

-0.36)

70.81% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 42.58%

Albirex Niigata 30.11%

Draw 27.31%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.11%