J1 League Gameweek 22
Aug 6, 2023 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • Hwang Seok-Ho 11' yellowcard
  • goal Takeshi Kanamori 45'
  • yellowcard Yosuke Ideguchi 53'
  • yellowcard Tatsuya Tanaka 82'

Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2023 11.00am
Vissel Kobe 2 - 1 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2023 11.00am
Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Yuya Yamagishi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Sagan Tosu 39.3% (+0.13)
Draw 28.14% (+0.06)
Avispa Fukuoka 32.56% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.97% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.91% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 59.08% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 20.46% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 79.54% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 8.6% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 91.4% (+0.11)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 70.72% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.28% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.76% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 65.24% (+0.05)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 66.42% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 33.58% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 29.78% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 70.22% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 39.29%
Draw 28.13%
Avispa Fukuoka 32.55%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.07% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.42% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.17% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.83% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1 @ 10.72% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.55%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 13
May 14, 2023 5.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Level-5 stadium
J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 26, 2022 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Fuchi Honda 17' goal
  • Taisei Miyashiro 58' yellowcard
  • goal Jordy Croux 26'
  • yellowcard Yota Maejima 31'
  • yellowcard Daiki Miya 63'
  • yellowcard John Mary 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 1, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Masato Yuzawa 32' yellowcard
  • Lukian 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nanasei Iino 62'
  • yellowcard Diego 79'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 25, 2021 11.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Juanma 41' goal
  • Juanma 63' yellowcard
  • Yuya Yamagishi 68' goal
  • Takeshi Kanamori 74' yellowcard
  • Daiki Watari 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Yuta Higuchi 45'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Mar 21, 2021 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Keita Yamashita 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Grolli 48'