Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 19, 2023 at 11am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
2 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Alano (37'), Usami (61' pen.)
Dawhan (77'), Takao (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ohashi (90+6')
Min-tae (59'), Hiraoka (82'), Onose (87')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 12 at 11.30am in J1 League

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawShonan Bellmare
44.79% (0.214 0.21)25.58% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)29.64% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.57% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (0.179 0.18)50.11% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (0.159 0.16)72.08% (-0.158 -0.16)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.176 0.18)22.33% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (0.263 0.26)55.81% (-0.263 -0.26)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)31.02% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)67.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 44.78%
    Shonan Bellmare 29.64%
    Draw 25.57%
Gamba OsakaDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.79% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.78%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.64%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Gameweek 6
Shonan Bellmare
4-1
Gamba Osaka
Jul 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Shonan Bellmare
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Ohashi (43')
Sugioka (56'), Ishihara (90+4')
Sugioka (80')
Apr 17, 2022 6am
Gameweek 9
Gamba Osaka
0-1
Shonan Bellmare
Machino (82')
Dec 4, 2021 5am
Gameweek 38
Gamba Osaka
0-0
Shonan Bellmare
Jun 2, 2021 11am
Gameweek 19
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Gamba Osaka
Pereira (63')