La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Kylian Mbappe 32' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 58' goal
  • Federico Valverde 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 75' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 78' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 81' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 82' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Pol Lozano 10'
  • goal Thibaut Courtois 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joan Garcia 74'
  • yellowcard Carlos Romero 88'

Real Madrid vs Espanyol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Espanyol

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 3.15pm
Espanyol 3 - 2 Alaves
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Javi Puado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 69.33% (+0.53)
Draw 18.25% (-0.21)
Espanyol 12.42% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.06% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 40.94% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 36.67% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 63.33% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 19.53% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 80.47% (-0.15)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 89.3% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 10.7% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 65.39% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 34.61% (-0.42)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5 56.27% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 43.73% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 20.1% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 79.9% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 69.32%
Draw 18.25%
Espanyol 12.42%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 11.68% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 8.71% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 7.2% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.86% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 4.02% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.17% (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 69.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 18.25%
Espanyol
0-1 @ 3.87% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 3.58% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 12.42%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Vinicius Junior 22' goal
  • Eder Militao 39' goal
  • Marco Asensio 90'+3' goal
  • goal Joselu 8'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2022 9.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT RCDE Stadium
  • Joselu 43' goal
  • Benjamin Lecomte 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 12'
  • goal Karim Benzema 88'
  • goal Karim Benzema 90'+10'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 3.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rodrygo 33' goal
  • Mariano 42' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 43' goal
  • Casemiro 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 55' goal
  • Karim Benzema 81' goal
La Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2021 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adri Embarba 11' yellowcard
  • Raul de Tomas 17' goal
  • Aleix Vidal 60' goal
  • Oscar Gil 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 29'
  • goal Karim Benzema 71'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Jun 28, 2020 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT RCDE Stadium
  • Adria Pedrosa 68' yellowcard
  • goal Casemiro 45'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 87'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2019 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
  • Vinicius Junior 17' yellowcard
  • Raphael Varane 37' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 63' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 74' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 79' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Esteban Granero 15'
  • yellowcard Fernando Calero 61'
  • yellowcard Sergi Darder 91'

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups