Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.