Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Real Sociedad
25.05% ( -0.04)	24.65% ( -0.01)	50.3% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.98% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

49.22% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

71.28% (

-0)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88% (

-0.03)

34.12% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19% (

-0.03)

70.81% (

0.03)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42% (

0.02)

19.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.49% (

0.03)

51.51% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 25.05%

Real Sociedad 50.29%

Draw 24.65%

Union Berlin	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.05%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.29%