Club Friendlies 3
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Ainsley Maitland-Niles
49'
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Said Benrahma
65'
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Gift Orban
75'
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Gift Orban
85'
Union Berlin vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Union Berlin
31.62%
▲
(+1.45)
Draw
24.45%
▲
(+0.66)
Lyon
43.93%
▼
(-2.10)
Both Teams to Score:
58.39%
▼
(-1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.73%
▼
(-2.34)
Under 2.5
44.27%
▲
(+2.33)
Over 3.5
33.35%
▼
(-2.31)
Under 3.5
66.65%
▲
(+2.31)
Over 4.5
17.05%
▼
(-1.71)
Under 4.5
82.95%
▲
(+1.71)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5
73.24%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
26.76%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
37.97%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
62.03%
▲
(+0.29)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
79.72%
▼
(-1.83)
Under 0.5
20.28%
▲
(+1.83)
Over 1.5
47.37%
▼
(-3.01)
Under 1.5
52.63%
▲
(+3.01)
Score analysis
Union Berlin
31.62%
Draw
24.44%
Lyon
43.93%
Union Berlin
2-1
@
7.52%
▲
(+0.25)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.66)
2-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.62%
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.66)
2-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.62%
Draw
1-1
@
11.41%
▲
(+0.44)
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.54)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.54)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
Lyon
1-2
@
9.11%
▼
(-0.18)
0-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.39)
0-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.39)
0-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.28)
1-4 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.28)
0-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.20)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 43.93%
0-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.39)
0-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.39)
0-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.28)
1-4 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.28)
0-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.20)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 43.93%