Union Berlin logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Lyon

Union Berlin
0 - 4
Lyon

FT(HT: 0-0)
Maitland-Niles (49'), Benrahma (65'), Orban (75', 85')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Union Berlin and Lyon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Union Berlin 4-4 Rangers
Saturday, July 27 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Lyon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Torino
Wednesday, July 31 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawLyon
31.62% (1.447 1.45)24.45% (0.653 0.65)43.93% (-2.099 -2.1)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-1.52 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73% (-2.33 -2.33)44.27% (2.329 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (-2.303 -2.3)66.65% (2.302 2.3)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-0.221 -0.22)26.76% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.29 -0.29)62.03% (0.289 0.29)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (-1.828 -1.83)20.28% (1.828 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (-3.003 -3)52.63% (3.002 3)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 31.62%
    Lyon 43.93%
    Draw 24.44%
Union BerlinDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.242 0.24)
1-0 @ 7.15% (0.658 0.66)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.407 0.41)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.62%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.53 0.53)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.383 0.38)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.383 -0.38)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.274 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.276 -0.28)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 43.93%