Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.98%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.