Club Friendlies 3
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David Ozoh
60'
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Kane Wilson
62'
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Raul Moro
36'
Derby County vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Derby County
39.88%
▼
(-1.61)
Draw
26.1%
▲
(+0.41)
Real Valladolid
34.02%
▲
(+1.20)
Both Teams to Score:
53.6%
▼
(-1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.15%
▼
(-1.46)
Under 2.5
50.85%
▲
(+1.46)
Over 3.5
27.26%
▼
(-1.31)
Under 3.5
72.73%
▲
(+1.30)
Over 4.5
12.82%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 4.5
87.17%
▲
(+0.87)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
74.91%
▼
(-1.48)
Under 0.5
25.08%
▲
(+1.48)
Over 1.5
40.22%
▼
(-2.09)
Under 1.5
59.77%
▲
(+2.09)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5
71.54%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
28.46%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
35.78%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
64.22%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Derby County
39.88%
Draw
26.09%
Real Valladolid
34.02%
Derby County
1-0
@
9.87%
▲
(+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.29)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.88%
2-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.29)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.88%
Draw
1-1
@
12.4%
▲
(+0.22)
0-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
Real Valladolid
0-1
@
8.97%
▲
(+0.53)
1-2 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.02%
1-2 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.02%