Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 19, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santo Domingo
Real Valladolid logo

Alcorcon
1 - 1
Valladolid

Vico (14')
Quintilla (36'), Vico (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Negredo (66')
Oliveira (4'), Sanchez (32'), Salazar (71')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Real Valladolid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alcorcon

All competitions
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 2-1 Alcorcon
Saturday, May 11 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Espanyol
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.97%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.31%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
AlcorconDrawReal Valladolid
27.98% (-1.252 -1.25)31.05% (0.31 0.31)40.97% (0.946 0.95)
Both teams to score 38.07% (-1.187 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.81% (-1.162 -1.16)69.19% (1.164 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.29% (-0.759 -0.76)86.71% (0.762 0.76)
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21% (-1.736 -1.74)42.79% (1.739 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.89% (-1.511 -1.51)79.11% (1.513 1.51)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)33.46% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)70.09% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Alcorcon 27.97%
    Real Valladolid 40.97%
    Draw 31.04%
AlcorconDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.65% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 1.6% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 27.97%
0-0 @ 14.31% (0.6 0.6)
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 31.04%
0-1 @ 15.67% (0.64 0.64)
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.338 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.97%

How you voted: Alcorcon vs Valladolid

Alcorcon
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Real Valladolid
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Valladolid
0-2
Alcorcon

Meseguer (49')
Gonzalez (35'), Sousa (90+4')
Brice Eteki (23'), Obieta (38'), Artola (69'), Morillas (79')
Mar 27, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 33
Alcorcon
1-2
Valladolid
Rivas (39')
Angel (63')
Mesa (3'), Monchu (32')
Sanchez (41'), Fernandez (86')
Sep 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Valladolid
2-0
Alcorcon
Aguado (19'), Weissman (86')
Leon (2'), Mesa (80')

Gorosito (69')
Mar 10, 2018 5pm
Alcorcon
0-0
Valladolid
Toribio (50')
Borja (89')
Oct 12, 2017 5pm
Valladolid
4-0
Alcorcon
Mata (41', 87'), Michel (60'), Gianniotas (90')

Sangalli (23'), Lazaro (38')