Segunda Division | Gameweek 39

May 11, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de A Malata

Racing de Ferrol
2 - 1
Alcorcon

Sene (63'), Serrano (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (82')
Chema (43')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Racing Club de Ferrol and Alcorcon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions

Last Game: Tenerife 2-0 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Alcorcon

All competitions

Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Alcorcon
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club de Ferrol would win this match.

Result
Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Alcorcon
45.07% ( 0.05)	27.57% ( 0)	27.36% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 46.29% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.16% (

-0.03)

58.84% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.65% (

-0.03)

79.34% (

0.02)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

0.01)

26.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.93% (

0.02)

61.07% (

-0.02)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.58% (

-0.06)

37.41% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.8% (

-0.06)

74.19% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Racing Club de Ferrol 45.06%

Alcorcon 27.36%

Draw 27.57%

Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.36%