Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club de Ferrol would win this match.