Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.