La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Betis

Mbappe (67', 75' pen.)
Junior (59'), Carvajal (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Betis

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 3-0 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Real Betis
58.01% ( -1.56)	22.32% ( 0.43)	19.66% ( 1.13)

Both teams to score 53.33% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.69% (

-0.23)

45.31% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.35% (

-0.22)

67.64% (

0.22)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67% (

-0.58)

15.33% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.92% (

-1.11)

44.07% (

1.11)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

1.09)

37.01% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

1.07)

73.8% (

-1.07)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 58.01%

Real Betis 19.66%

Draw 22.32%

Real Madrid	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.01%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.32%	0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.66%