Real Madrid logo
UEFA Super Cup | Final
Aug 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Atalanta logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Atalanta

Valverde (59'), Mbappe (68')
Bellingham (35'), Junior (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ederson (9'), Djimsiti (64')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores a debut goal for Real Madrid as Carlo Ancelotti's side beat Atalanta BC 2-0 to win the UEFA Super Cup in Warsaw.

Team News

Kylian Mbappe is named in the Real Madrid starting XI for Wednesday's UEFA Super Cup with Atalanta BC.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Super Cup clash between Real Madrid and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Super Cup clash against Atalanta BC.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of the UEFA Super Cup against Atalanta BC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, August 7 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAtalanta BC
41.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)24.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09%52.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)57.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 41.04%
    Atalanta BC 34.87%
    Draw 24.08%
Real MadridDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.87%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Atalanta

Real Madrid
92.7%
Atalanta BC
7.3%
449
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Real Madrid
3-1
Atalanta
Benzema (34'), Ramos (60' pen.), Asensio (84')
Valverde (39'), Nacho (73'), Kroos (77')
Muriel (83')
Toloi (59')
> Match Report
Feb 24, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Atalanta
0-1
Real Madrid

Gosens (71')
Freuler (17')
Mendy (86')
Casemiro (23'), Mendy (55')
> Preview