Parma logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Atalanta logo

Parma
4 - 1
Atalanta

Man (6', 51'), Bonny (30'), Partipilo (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lookman (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Parma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Parma
Wednesday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 2-2 Atalanta
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
39.23% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)25.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04)34.83% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.143 -0.14)50.01% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.127 -0.13)71.99% (0.125 0.13)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)25.04% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.289 -0.29)59.72% (0.286 0.29)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.089000000000006 0.09)63.06% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Parma 39.23%
    Atalanta BC 34.83%
    Draw 25.93%
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.83%

How you voted: Parma vs Atalanta

Parma
18.8%
Draw
31.3%
Atalanta BC
50.0%
16
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 35
Parma
2-5
Atalanta
Brunetta (78'), Sohm (88')
Grassi (44')
Malinovskyi (12'), Pessina (52'), Muriel (77', 86'), Miranchuk (90+3')
Hateboer (72')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
Muriel (15'), Zapata (49'), Gosens (61')
Pessina (45')

Cyprien (39')
> Preview
Jul 28, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Parma
1-2
Atalanta
Kulusevski (43')
Darmian (19'), Kucka (45+3')
Malinovskiy (70'), Papu (84')
Sutalo (6')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
5-0
Parma
Papu (11'), Freuler (34'), Gosens (43'), Ilicic (60', 71')
Papu (29'), Freuler (70')

Barilla (8'), Pezzella (27'), Kucka (57'), Hernani (71')
Mar 31, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
Gervinho (8')
Scozzarella (76')
Pasalic (24'), Zapata (75', 90')
Castagne (58')