Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Parma
41.82% ( 0.01)	24.82% ( -0)	33.36% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.78% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

0.02)

45.37% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.3% (

0.01)

67.7% (

-0.01)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3% (

0.01)

21.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

0.02)

54.85% (

-0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

26.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

0.01)

61.31% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 41.83%

Parma 33.36%

Draw 24.81%

Heidenheim	Draw	Parma
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.83%	1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.81%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.36%