Real Madrid logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 7, 2024 at 12am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Chelsea logo

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Chelsea

Vazquez (19', 19'), Diaz (27', 27')
Lunin (67'), Lunin (67')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Madueke (39', 39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Real Madrid and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's pre-season friendly against Chelsea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Barcelona
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man City 4-2 Chelsea
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawChelsea
55.44% (-14.434 -14.43)20.86% (4.445 4.45)23.69% (9.99 9.99)
Both teams to score 64.56% (2.97 2.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.74% (-4.767 -4.77)33.26% (4.767 4.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.98% (-5.67 -5.67)55.02% (5.67 5.67)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (-4.76 -4.76)12.11% (4.76 4.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.32% (-11.137 -11.14)37.68% (11.138 11.14)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (6.98 6.98)26.54% (-6.979 -6.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (8.412 8.41)61.75% (-8.413 -8.41)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 55.44%
    Chelsea 23.69%
    Draw 20.86%
Real MadridDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.325 0.32)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-1.233 -1.23)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.353 0.35)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-1.299 -1.3)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-2.264 -2.26)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-1.681 -1.68)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-2.106 -2.11)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.507 -0.51)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-1.229 -1.23)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-1.365 -1.37)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.498 -0.5)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 55.44%
1-1 @ 9% (1.971 1.97)
2-2 @ 6.3% (1.287 1.29)
0-0 @ 3.22% (0.75 0.75)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.371 0.37)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.86%
1-2 @ 5.97% (2.127 2.13)
0-1 @ 4.26% (1.57 1.57)
0-2 @ 2.83% (1.356 1.36)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.959 0.96)
1-3 @ 2.64% (1.24 1.24)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.715 0.72)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.425 0.43)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 23.69%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Real Madrid

Chelsea
33.3%
Draw
13.0%
Real Madrid
53.7%
123
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
2-0
Chelsea
Benzema (21'), Asensio (74')
Apr 12, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Real Madrid
2-3
Chelsea
Rodrygo (80'), Benzema (96')
Benzema (37'), Valverde (68'), Camavinga (90+1'), Carvajal (118')
Mount (15'), Rudiger (51'), Werner (75')
James (10'), Ziyech (102'), Havertz (109'), Tuchel (113'), Azpilicueta (113')
Apr 6, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Chelsea
1-3
Real Madrid
Havertz (40')
Rudiger (19')
Benzema (21', 24', 46')
Militao (14')
May 5, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Chelsea
2-0
Real Madrid
Werner (28'), Mount (85')
Jorginho (14'), Christensen (39'), Mount (87')

Ramos (36'), Nacho (62'), Kroos (72'), Valverde (90')
rhs 2.0


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