/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
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Lucas Vazquez
19'
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Lucas Vazquez
19'
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Brahim Diaz
27'
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Brahim Diaz
27'
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Andriy Lunin
67'
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Andriy Lunin
67'
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Noni Madueke
39'
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Noni Madueke
39'
Real Madrid vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Chelsea Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-1.24)
1-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▼ (-1.30)
3-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-2.27)
3-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-1.69)
4-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-2.11)
4-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.51)
5-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-1.23)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-1.37)
4-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 55.44%
2-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+1.29)
0-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.75)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.38)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.86%
0-1 @ 4.26% ▲ (+1.58)
0-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+1.36)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.96)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+1.25)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-52.35)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 23.69%
Head to Head
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Rodrygo
58'
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Rodrygo
80'
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Karim Benzema
21'
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Marco Asensio
74'
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Karim Benzema
37'
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Federico Valverde
68'
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Rodrygo
80'
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Eduardo Camavinga
90'+1'
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Karim Benzema
96'
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Dani Carvajal
118'
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Reece James
10'
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Mason Mount
15'
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Antonio Rudiger
51'
-
Timo Werner
75'
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Hakim Ziyech
102'
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Kai Havertz
109'
-
Thomas Tuchel
113'
-
Cesar Azpilicueta
113'
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Antonio Rudiger
19'
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Kai Havertz
40'
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Eder Militao
14'
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Karim Benzema
21'
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Karim Benzema
24'
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Karim Benzema
46'
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Jorginho
14'
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Timo Werner
28'
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Andreas Christensen
39'
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Mason Mount
85'
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Mason Mount
87'
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Sergio Ramos
36'
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Nacho
62'
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Toni Kroos
72'
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Federico Valverde
90'
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Vinicius Junior
27'
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Karim Benzema
29'
-
Toni Kroos
60'
-
Marcelo
65'
-
Raphael Varane
78'
-
Alvaro Odriozola
89'
-
Christian Pulisic
14'
-
Christian Pulisic
38'
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