Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 28.25% ( | 26.29% ( | 45.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( | 53.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( | 75.17% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( | 33.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( | 70.59% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( | 23.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( | 57.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0-3 @ 4.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0-4 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.45% |