Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Mallorca
37.54% ( 0.84)	29.18% ( 0.18)	33.28% ( -1.03)

Both teams to score 44.2% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.43% (

-0.7)

62.56% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.85% (

-0.52)

82.15% (

0.52)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.91% (

0.17)

32.08% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.44% (

0.2)

68.56% (

-0.2)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09% (

-1.08)

34.91% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35% (

-1.16)

71.65% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Burgos 37.53%

Mallorca 33.27%

Draw 29.18%

Burgos	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.53%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.18%	0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 33.27%