Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.