La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 6.15pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Romero (8'), Veliz (90+6')
Kumbulla (81'), Aguado (85'), Veliz (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Garcia (4')
Garcia (82'), Mumin (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, August 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
45.46% ( 0.27)	29% ( -0.12)	25.54% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 41.43% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.64% (

0.28)

64.36% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.56% (

0.2)

83.44% (

-0.2)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

0.28)

28.44% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81% (

0.35)

64.2% (

-0.35)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.89% (

0.03)

42.11% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.47% (

0.03)

78.53% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 45.45%

Rayo Vallecano 25.54%

Draw 28.99%

Espanyol	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 15.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 45.45%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.99%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.14% Total : 25.54%