Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
45.55% ( -2.83)	24.33% ( 0.77)	30.12% ( 2.06)

Both teams to score 58.01% (

-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

-2.3)

44.43% (

2.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

-2.27)

66.8% (

2.27)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36% (

-2.05)

19.64% (

2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.39% (

-3.44)

51.61% (

3.44)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

0.25)

27.81% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

0.31)

63.4% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 45.55%

Rayo Vallecano 30.12%

Draw 24.32%

Bournemouth	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.46) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.53) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.12%