Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2024 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Osame Sahraoui 18' goal
  • Daniel Karlsbakk 47' goal
  • Daniel Karlsbakk 58' goal
  • Simon Olsson 65' goal
  • Daniel Karlsbakk 83' goal

Heerenveen vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2024 11.00am
Heerenveen 5 - 2 PEC Zwolle

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 7.30pm
Guimaraes 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result

Heerenveen 45.69% (+0.02)
Draw 24.56% (+0.01)
Rayo Vallecano 29.76% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.03% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.37% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.63% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 32.05% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.95% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.11% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.89% (+0.03)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 79.93% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.07% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.7% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.3% (+0.02)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 71.35% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.65% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.53% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 64.47% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 45.69%
Draw 24.55%
Rayo Vallecano 29.76%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.55%
Rayo Vallecano
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.19% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 29.76%