Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.