Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 35.16% ( | 31.22% ( | 33.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.27% ( | 68.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.58% ( | 86.41% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( | 36.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( | 73.76% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( | 38.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( | 74.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 14% ( 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-1 @ 6.73% ( 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 3-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 35.16% | 0-0 @ 14.07% ( 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.25% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.21% | 0-1 @ 13.59% ( 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 33.62% |