La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Isi 35' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 49'

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2024 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 1 Osasuna
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 8.00pm
Atletico 3 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 23.84% (-0.19)
Draw 25.89% (-0.05)
Atletico Madrid 50.26% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.06% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.91% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 55.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 23.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 76.34% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.52% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.48% (-0.02)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 61.58% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 38.42% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 24.83% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 75.17% (+0.15)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 78.04% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 21.96% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 44.75% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 55.25% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 23.84%
Draw 25.89%
Atletico Madrid 50.26%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.85% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 23.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.89%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 12.78% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.69% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.27% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.9% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.69% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.26%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Reinildo Mandava 35' goal
  • Memphis Depay 90' goal
  • Diego Simeone 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kike Perez 38'
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 42'
  • yellowcard Isi 60'
  • redcard Francisco 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 8.30pm
0
7
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Isi 39' yellowcard
  • Florian Lejeune 65' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 81' yellowcard
  • Ivan Balliu 88' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 2'
  • goal Memphis Depay 16'
  • goal Nahuel Molina 36'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 49'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 73'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 75'
  • goal Angel Correa 79'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 84'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 86'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 87'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Fran Garcia 85' goal
  • goal Nahuel Molina 22'
  • goal Mario Hermoso 24'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Alvaro Morata 20' goal
  • goal Radamel Falcao 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mario Suarez 30' yellowcard
  • Santi Comesana 42' yellowcard
  • Oscar Trejo 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 20'
  • goal Koke 49'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 74'
  • yellowcard Koke 78'
  • yellowcard Jan Oblak 81'
  • redcard Angel Correa 85'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 85'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Giuliano Simeone 7' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 26' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 28' goal
  • Angel Correa 53' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 73' yellowcard