La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Atletico

Isi (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Atletico Madrid
23.84% ( -0.18)	25.89% ( -0.04)	50.26% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.91% (

0.01)

55.08% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.66% (

0.01)

76.34% (

-0.02)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

-0.16)

38.42% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

-0.15)

75.17% (

0.15)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

0.1)

21.96% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

0.16)

55.25% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 23.84%

Atletico Madrid 50.26%

Draw 25.89%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.84%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.26%