Atletico2 - 1RB Leipzig
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Atletico Madrid 3-1 RB Leipzig
Atletico have not lost at home to a German club in the 21st century, and enter the fixture high on confidence after another big win at the weekend over Valencia. Both sides are very strong in attack, with Antoine Griezmann and Alvarez facing up against Xavi Simons, Lois Openda and Benjamin Sesko, but home advantage and the Simeone effect could give Atletico the edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | RB Leipzig |
49.36% ( 0.48) | 22.88% ( -0.11) | 27.75% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 61.43% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
