Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Sep 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Griezmann (28'), Gimenez (90')
Le Normand (10'), Gimenez (60'), De Paul (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sesko (4')
Lukeba (39'), Baumgartner (49'), Henrichs (90+4'), Openda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	RB Leipzig
49.36% ( 0.48)	22.88% ( -0.11)	27.75% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 61.43% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.81% (

0.26)

39.18% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.48% (

0.27)

61.51% (

-0.27)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87% (

0.27)

16.12% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.46% (

0.49)

45.54% (

-0.5)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.24% (

-0.13)

26.75% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

-0.17)

62.03% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 49.36%

RB Leipzig 27.75%

Draw 22.87%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.75%