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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Union Berlin


Haidara (53'), Kampl (74')
FT

Benes (26'), Khedira (61'), Svensson (84'), Doekhi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
61.67% (0.058 0.06)22.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)15.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.02000000000001 0.02)16.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.033999999999999 0.03)46.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.15% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)45.84% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.4% (-0.044 -0.04)81.6% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 61.66%
    Union Berlin 15.75%
    Draw 22.57%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 61.66%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 15.75%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
88.5%
Draw
7.7%
Union Berlin
3.8%
78
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
2-0
Union Berlin
Openda (11'), Sesko (48')
Kampl (20')

Hollerbach (22'), Tousart (47')
Trimmel (73')
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
0-3
RB Leipzig

Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')