Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
Rot-Weiss Essen	Draw	RB Leipzig
18.5% ( 1.2)	19.6% ( 0.46)	61.9% ( -1.65)

Both teams to score 60.83% (

0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.53% (

-0.08)

34.47% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.6% (

-0.09)

56.4% (

0.09)

Rot-Weiss Essen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

1.22)

31.84% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.72% (

1.37)

68.28% (

-1.37)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.25% (

-0.44)

10.75% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.27% (

-0.99)

34.74% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Rot-Weiss Essen 18.5%

RB Leipzig 61.9%

Draw 19.6%

Rot-Weiss Essen	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.3% Total : 18.5%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.6%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.04% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 3.53% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.15) 2-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.02% Total : 61.9%