Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.