DFB-Pokal
Aug 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Stadion Essen
  • Ramien Safi 2' goal
  • Jose Enrique Rios Alonso 47' yellowcard
  • Ahmet Arslan 63' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 12'
  • goal Lois Openda 40'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 66'
  • goal Antonio Nusa 84'
  • goal Xavi Simons 88'

Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Essen

All competitions

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result

Rot-Weiss Essen 18.5% (+1.21)
Draw 19.6% (+0.46)
RB Leipzig 61.9% (-1.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.83% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.53% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 34.47% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 43.6% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 56.4% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 25.11% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 74.9% (+0.08)

Rot-Weiss Essen Goals

Over 0.5 68.16% (+1.22)
Under 0.5 31.84% (-1.22)
Over 1.5 31.72% (+1.38)
Under 1.5 68.28% (-1.38)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 89.25% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 10.75% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 65.27% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 34.74% (+1.00)

Score analysis

Rot-Weiss Essen 18.5%
Draw 19.6%
RB Leipzig 61.9%
Rot-Weiss Essen
2-1 @ 5% (+0.26)
1-0 @ 3.92% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 2.24% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.13% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 1.91% (+0.16)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 18.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.74% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 3.42% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.6%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.51% (-0.29)
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 7.24% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 6.33% (-0.34)
2-3 @ 4.14% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.04% (-0.16)
0-4 @ 3.53% (-0.26)
2-4 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.8% (-0.11)
0-5 @ 1.57% (-0.15)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.9%