Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.45%) and 1-3 (6.34%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.