Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Nusa (59')
Simons (35')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bero (15'), Wittek (23'), Sissoko (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RWE 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Jahn 1-0 VfL Bochum
Sunday, August 18 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	VfL Bochum
55.68% ( 0.65)	21.56% ( -0.02)	22.77% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 60.74% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.28% (

-0.63)

37.72% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.04% (

-0.68)

59.96% (

0.68)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.49% (

-0.01)

13.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.44% (

-0.02)

40.56% (

0.02)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

-0.87)

29.77% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16% (

-1.07)

65.84% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 55.68%

VfL Bochum 22.77%

Draw 21.56%

RB Leipzig	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 55.68%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.56%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.06% Total : 22.77%