Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.