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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 47% ( | 23.04% ( | 29.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.51% ( | 38.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% ( | 60.78% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( | 16.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.36% ( | 46.64% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( | 24.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( | 59.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 4-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 4.31% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.95% |