Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	VfL Bochum
42.58% ( -0.34)	24.3% ( -0.05)	33.12% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 59.52% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.95% (

0.36)

43.05% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.55% (

0.36)

65.45% (

-0.35)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62%

20.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.21% (

-0)

52.78% (

0.01)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.41)

25.24% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

0.56)

59.99% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Spezia 42.58%

VfL Bochum 33.12%

Draw 24.29%

Spezia	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.12%