Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Spezia
35.82% ( 0.01)	27.94% ( -0)	36.25% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.98% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.97% (

0.01)

58.03% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.29% (

0.01)

78.71% (

-0)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13% (

0.01)

30.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.85% (

0.01)

67.15% (

-0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

30.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

-0)

66.83% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Empoli 35.81%

Spezia 36.24%

Draw 27.93%

Empoli	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.81%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.24%