Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
1 - 1
Union Berlin

Amiri (53')
Kohr (7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Benes (74')
Tousart (45+3'), Doekhi (52'), Gosens (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wiesbaden 1-3 Mainz
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Greifswalder FC 0-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Union Berlin
51.39% ( -0.2)	25.54% ( 0.14)	23.06% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.23% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.56% (

-0.47)

54.44% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19% (

-0.4)

75.8% (

0.39)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79% (

-0.27)

21.21% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.9% (

-0.42)

54.1% (

0.42)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.21% (

-0.21)

38.79% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.48% (

-0.2)

75.52% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 51.39%

Union Berlin 23.06%

Draw 25.54%

Mainz 05	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.27% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 23.06%