Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 81.98%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Greifswalder FC had a probability of 5.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.15%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Greifswalder FC win it was 1-0 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Greifswalder FC	Draw	Union Berlin
5.73% ( 1.22)	12.29% ( 1.44)	81.98% ( -2.67)

Both teams to score 42.14% (

3.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.71% (

-1.17)

35.29% (

1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.69% (

-1.31)

57.31% (

1.31)

Greifswalder FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.06% (

3.59)

54.94% (

-3.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.16% (

2.04)

87.84% (

-2.03)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.5% (

-0.75)

6.5% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.74% (

-2.1)

24.26% (

2.1)

Score Analysis

Greifswalder FC 5.73%

Union Berlin 81.97%

Draw 12.29%

Greifswalder FC	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.37) Other @ 1.84% Total : 5.73%	1-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.7) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.42) Other @ 0.48% Total : 12.29%	0-2 @ 13.33% ( -0.39) 0-3 @ 12.15% ( -0.91) 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 8.31% ( -1.02) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 7.28% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 4.54% ( -0.79) 1-5 @ 2.72% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.31) 0-6 @ 2.07% ( -0.47) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.15) 1-6 @ 1.24% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.94% Total : 81.97%