DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
BRITA-Arena
Mainz logo

Wiesbaden
1 - 3
Mainz

Gozusirin (14')
Carstens (56'), Jonjic (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Kohr (59'), Burkardt (113'), Amiri (120+1')
Kohr (54'), Henriksen (112'), Caci (116'), Veratschnig (120'), Amiri (120+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's DFB-Pokal clash between Wehen Wiesbaden and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wiesbaden 0-2 Metz
Saturday, July 27 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Wehen Wiesbaden win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%).

Result
Wehen WiesbadenDrawMainz 05
32.14% (-0.764 -0.76)25.04% (0.501 0.5)42.82% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 56.57% (-2.022 -2.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-2.512 -2.51)46.75% (2.518 2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-2.398 -2.4)69.01% (2.402 2.4)
Wehen Wiesbaden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-1.694 -1.69)27.64% (1.699 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-2.232 -2.23)63.18% (2.237 2.24)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (-0.938 -0.94)21.82% (0.943 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (-1.452 -1.45)55.04% (1.457 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Wehen Wiesbaden 32.14%
    Mainz 05 42.82%
    Draw 25.03%
Wehen WiesbadenDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.447 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.615 0.61)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.697 0.7)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (0.344 0.34)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.82%

How you voted: Wiesbaden vs Mainz

Wehen Wiesbaden
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Mainz 05
77.8%
18