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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
1 - 0
St Pauli

Hollerbach (34')
Hollerbach (76'), Querfeld (90+1'), Woo-yeong (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guilavogui (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Heidenheim
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawSt Pauli
21.67% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)22.17%56.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 57.01% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.012 -0.01)41.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.012 -0.01)64.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)33.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)69.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 21.67%
    St Pauli 56.17%
    Draw 22.17%
Union BerlinDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 5.72%
1-0 @ 5.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.99%
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 21.67%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.72%
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.15%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 56.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs St Pauli

Union Berlin
83.4%
Draw
11.9%
St Pauli
4.6%
151
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Union Berlin
2-1
St Pauli
Becker (45'), Voglsammer (75')
Becker (64'), Khedira (78')
Kyereh (21')
Feb 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
St Pauli
3-2
Union Berlin
Allagui (23'), Meier (62', 90' pen.)
Allagui (4'), Flum (33'), Knoll (84')
Promel (84'), Abdullahi (86')
Schmiedebach (12'), Friedrich (37'), Lenz (60')
Aug 26, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
4-1
St Pauli
Promel (44'), Gogia (45'), Andersson (57', 88')
Prince Redondo (76')
Veerman (71')
Flum (31'), Buchtmann (38'), Sahin (64')
Apr 14, 2018 12pm
St Pauli
0-1
Union Berlin

Buballa (71'), Sahin (90')
Hedlund (81')
Friedrich (5'), Kroos (45'), Hartel (87')
Friedrich (56')
Nov 4, 2017 12pm