Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 2
Heidenheim

Irvine (18'), Wagner (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wanner (66'), Schoppner (82')
Maloney (22'), Traore (74'), Gimber (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Hallescher 2-3 St Pauli
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hacken 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Heidenheim
52.79% ( -0.29)	23.63% ( 0.22)	23.58% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.66% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

-0.9)

46.23% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

-0.86)

68.52% (

0.86)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

-0.44)

17.48% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

-0.77)

47.96% (

0.77)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

-0.44)

33.76% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

-0.48)

70.42% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 52.79%

Heidenheim 23.58%

Draw 23.62%

St Pauli	Draw	Heidenheim
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.79%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 23.58%