DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
ebm-papst-Stadion
Heidenheim

Villingen
0 - 4
Heidenheim


Alberico Liserra (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Breunig (43', 48', 53'), Wanner (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Villingen and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Villingen 4-2 Reutlingen
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Last Game: Heidenheim 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 85.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Villingen had a probability of 4.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 0-4 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Villingen win it was 2-1 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
VillingenDrawHeidenheim
4.44% (0.736 0.74)9.58% (0.828 0.83)85.97% (-1.569 -1.57)
Both teams to score 44.99% (2.874 2.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.05% (-0.146 -0.15)26.94% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.58% (-0.186 -0.19)47.42% (0.183 0.18)
Villingen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.98% (3.126 3.13)53.02% (-3.132 -3.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.34% (1.896 1.9)86.66% (-1.899 -1.9)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.76% (-0.27600000000001 -0.28)4.23% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.37% (-0.873 -0.87)17.62% (0.869 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Villingen 4.44%
    Heidenheim 85.96%
    Draw 9.58%
VillingenDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 1.43% (0.233 0.23)
1-0 @ 1.42% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 4.44%
1-1 @ 4.5% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 2.26% (0.328 0.33)
0-0 @ 2.25% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 9.58%
0-3 @ 11.82% (-0.65 -0.65)
0-2 @ 11.22% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-4 @ 9.35% (-0.71 -0.71)
1-3 @ 7.51% (0.304 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.43 0.43)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 5.93% (0.121 0.12)
0-5 @ 5.91% (-0.588 -0.59)
1-5 @ 3.75%
0-6 @ 3.12% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.303 0.3)
1-6 @ 1.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.88% (0.205 0.21)
0-7 @ 1.41% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-5 @ 1.19% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 85.96%

How you voted: Villingen vs Heidenheim

Villingen
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Heidenheim
83.3%
6
rhs 2.0


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