Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 76.02%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 1-2 (2.83%).