Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 11.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.