Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 74.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.