Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 74.23%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Rudes had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.02%) and 0-3 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Rudes win it was 1-0 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.