Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.