Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 35

May 19, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Opus Arena

Osijek
2 - 0
Rijeka

Jurisic (5'), Matkovic (72')
Omerovic (57'), Bralic (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabraja (21'), Banda (68'), Prekodravac (81'), Fruk (83'), Dilaver (84')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osijek

All competitions

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, May 11 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Last Game: Varazdin 3-1 Rijeka
Saturday, May 11 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Osijek	Draw	HNK Rijeka
31.55% ( -0.1)	27.75% ( 0.01)	40.7% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.82% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11% (

-0.05)

57.89% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.39% (

-0.04)

78.6% (

0.04)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

-0.1)

33.67% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

-0.1)

70.32% (

0.1)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

0.02)

27.91% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

0.03)

63.52% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Osijek 31.54%

HNK Rijeka 40.7%

Draw 27.74%

Osijek	Draw	HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.54%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.7%