Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.