Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.