Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.